Prabhakaran will not attack so long as he thinks that he can get his ISGA proposals accepted through the peace process. He will get in peace what he could not get through war.
He will also not attack so long as the Karuna faction continues to trouble him.
Once he knows that his ISGA proposals will not be accepted and the threat from Karuna’s faction is eliminated he will attack.
No notice will be given but some justification can be given for the attack. Hitler justified his invasion of Poland by saying that the Poles had attacked him first. He staged a mock attack for the purpose. In any case, the LTTE has breached the MoU more than 2,000 times according to news reports to him, it will be just another breach.
He will attack us because he thinks that he can win. Ever since the MoU was signed, he has made feverish preparations to boost his military strength and capability. "Coming events cast their shadows before." War-like noises can even now be heard from the LTTE camp.
Prabhakaran like Hitler will never be satisfied. If he is granted ISGA, he will target the hill-country next in the pretext that they are Tamil speaking people and are being oppressed as Hitler targeted the portion of Czechoslovakia that contained German speaking people the rest is history.
